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Research Article

Probabilistic modelling of extreme indoor heat exposure induced by heat waves

Zoltán Sadovský1( )Oľga Koronthályová1Peter Mihálka1Peter Matiašovský1Katarína Mikulová2
Institute of Construction and Architecture of the Slovak Academy of Sciences, Dúbravská 9, 845 03 Bratislava, Slovakia
Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Slovakia, Jeséniova 17, 833 15 Bratislava, Slovakia
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Abstract

The paper addresses indoor environment performance of a naturally ventilated residential building during heat waves. For the assessment of an extremely hot indoor environment a heat stress period (HSP) is defined. By the HSP a quantification of potentially harmful extreme heat exposure of building occupants is intended. The developed probabilistic model of HSP durations is based on the statistical theory of extreme values. The quantification is expressed by the mean return period related to the annual probability of exceedance of a considered HSP duration. This concept allows comparison of different designs; assessment of retrofitting effectiveness or it may serve as essential preliminary input for a health cost-benefit analysis. A dwelling in a typical naturally ventilated residential building represented by two opposite rooms connected by a corridor is studied. The indoor environment is simulated by the ESP-r software tool. Hourly time series of meteorological data describing climate during 14 years at a lowland station in Slovakia are employed.

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Building Simulation
Pages 477-485
Cite this article:
Sadovský Z, Koronthályová O, Mihálka P, et al. Probabilistic modelling of extreme indoor heat exposure induced by heat waves. Building Simulation, 2015, 8(5): 477-485. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12273-015-0224-9

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Received: 29 September 2014
Revised: 20 February 2015
Accepted: 10 March 2015
Published: 31 March 2015
© Tsinghua University Press and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2015
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