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Research Article | Open Access

Bayesian inference-based wear prediction method for plain bearings under stationary mixed-friction conditions

Florian KÖNIG1( )Florian WIRSING1Georg JACOBS1Rui HE2Zhigang TIAN2Ming J. ZUO2,3
Institute for Machine Elements and Systems Engineering, RWTH Aachen University, Aachen 52062, Germany
Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Alberta, Edmonton T6G1H9, Canada
Qingdao International Academician Park Research Institute, Qingdao 266000, China
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Abstract

This study introduces a method to predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of plain bearings operating under stationary, wear-critical conditions. In this method, the transient wear data of a coupled elastohydrodynamic lubrication (mixed-EHL) and wear simulation approach is used to parametrize a statistical, linear degradation model. The method incorporates Bayesian inference to update the linear degradation model throughout the runtime and thereby consider the transient, system-dependent wear progression within the RUL prediction. A case study is used to show the suitability of the proposed method. The results show that the method can be applied to three distinct types of post-wearing-in behavior: wearing-in with subsequent hydrodynamic, stationary wear, and progressive wear operation. While hydrodynamic operation leads to an infinite lifetime, the method is successfully applied to predict RUL in cases with stationary and progressive wear.

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Friction
Pages 1272-1282
Cite this article:
KÖNIG F, WIRSING F, JACOBS G, et al. Bayesian inference-based wear prediction method for plain bearings under stationary mixed-friction conditions. Friction, 2024, 12(6): 1272-1282. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40544-023-0814-y

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Received: 17 April 2023
Revised: 16 June 2023
Accepted: 07 August 2023
Published: 15 December 2023
© The author(s) 2023.

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