AI Chat Paper
Note: Please note that the following content is generated by AMiner AI. SciOpen does not take any responsibility related to this content.
{{lang === 'zh_CN' ? '文章概述' : 'Summary'}}
{{lang === 'en_US' ? '中' : 'Eng'}}
Chat more with AI
PDF (1.3 MB)
Collect
Submit Manuscript AI Chat Paper
Show Outline
Outline
Show full outline
Hide outline
Outline
Show full outline
Hide outline
Research Article | Open Access

Private or on-demand autonomous vehicles? Modeling public interest using a multivariate model

Center for Integrated Mobility Sciences, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO 80401, USA
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Utah State University, Logan, UT 84322-4110, USA
Show Author Information

Abstract

With the likely future of autonomous vehicles (AVs) as private, ride-hailing, and pooled vehicles, it is important to consider all forms of AVs when estimating the impacts of automation on travel behavior. To aid this, this study jointly models the public interest in three forms of AVs (owning, ride-hailing, and using pooled services) and compares the interests in owning versus ride-hailing AVs using a combination of structural equation modeling and multivariate ordered probit modeling frameworks. Using the 2019 California Vehicle Survey data, we estimate the impacts of several exogenous and latent variables on all forms of AV adoption. We find that the individual, household, travel-related, and built-environment factors are related to different forms of AV adoption directly and indirectly through attitudes toward human and automated driving. We also report that human and automated driving sentiments have the highest impact on interest in owning an AV compared to interest in ride-hailing and using pooled AVs. We discuss several policy implications by calculating the pseudo-elasticity effects of exogenous variables and the sensitivities of the impacts on latent variables on different forms of AV adoption. For example, public interest in owning private AVs can be increased by more than 7% by making them familiar with autonomous technology.

References

[1]
Acharya, S., 2022. Release of data and analysis scripts of the “Private or on-demand 30 autonomous vehicles? Modeling public interest using a multivariate model” research 31 study (v1.1). Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6795556
[2]

Acharya, S., Humagain, P., 2022. Public interest in autonomous vehicle adoption: Evidence from the 2015, 2017, and 2019 puget sound travel surveys. J Transp Eng Part A Syst, 148, 04022003.

[3]

Acharya, S., Mekker, M., 2022a. Measuring data sharing intention and its association with the acceptance of connected vehicles. Transp Res Part F Traffic Psychol Behav, 89, 423–436.

[4]

Acharya, S., Mekker, M., 2022b. Public acceptance of connected vehicles: An extension of the technology acceptance model. Transp Res Part F Traffic Psychol Behav, 88, 54–68.

[5]

Acharya, S., Mekker, M., Singleton, P. A., 2023. Validating the satisfaction with travel scale and measuring long-distance recreational travel satisfaction. Transp Res Part F Traffic Psychol Behav, 95, 1–17.

[6]

Alawadhi, M., Almazrouie, J., Kamil, M., Khalil, K. A., 2020. A systematic literature review of the factors influencing the adoption of autonomous driving. Int J Syst Assur Eng Manag, 11, 1065–1082.

[7]

Asmussen, K. E., Mondal, A., Bhat, C. R., 2020. A socio-technical model of autonomous vehicle adoption using ranked choice stated preference data. Transp Res Part C Emerg Technol, 121, 102835.

[8]

Becker, F., Axhausen, K. W., 2017. Literature review on surveys investigating the acceptance of automated vehicles. Transportation, 44, 1293–1306.

[9]
Ben-Akiva, M., Walker, J., Bernardino, A. T., Gopinath, D. A., Morikawa, T., Polydoropoulou, A., 2002. Integration of choice and latent variable models. In: Perpetual motion: Travel behaviour research opportunities and application challenges, 431–470.
[10]

Bentler, P. M., Bonett, D. G., 1980. Significance tests and goodness of fit in the analysis of covariance structures. Psychol Bull, 88, 588–606.

[11]

Bhat, C. R., 2015. A new generalized heterogeneous data model (GHDM) to jointly model mixed types of dependent variables. Transp Res Part B Methodol, 79, 50–77.

[12]

Brell, T., Philipsen, R., Ziefle, M., 2019. Suspicious minds?–Users’ perceptions of autonomous and connected driving. Theor News Ergon Sci, 20, 301–331.

[13]

Browne, M. W., Cudeck, R., 1993. Alternative ways of assessing model fit. Sociol Meth Res, 21, 230–258.

[14]
California Vehicle Survey-California Energy Commission., 2019. https://www.energy.ca.gov/data-reports/surveys/california-vehicle-survey
[15]

Cohn, J., Ezike, R., Martin, J., Donkor, K., Ridgway, M., Balding, M., 2019. Examining the equity impacts of autonomous vehicles: A travel demand model approach. Transport Res Rec, 2673, 23–35.

[16]
Coppola, P., Silvestri, F., 2019. Autonomous vehicles and future mobility solutions. Auton Veh Futur Mob, 1–15.
[17]

Dannemiller, K. A., Mondal, A., Asmussen, K. E., Bhat, C. R., 2021. Investigating autonomous vehicle impacts on individual activity-travel behavior. Transp Res Part A Policy Pract, 148, 402–422.

[18]

De Vos, J., Singleton, P. A., Gärling, T., 2021. From attitude to satisfaction: Introducing the travel mode choice cycle. Transp Rev, 42, 204–221.

[19]

Duarte, F., Ratti, C., 2018. The impact of autonomous vehicles on cities: A review. J Urban Technol, 25, 3–18.

[20]

Emory, K., Douma, F., Cao, J., 2022. Autonomous vehicle policies with equity implications: Patterns and gaps. Transp Res Interdiscip Perspect, 13, 100521.

[21]

Esterwood, C., Yang, X. J., Robert, L. P., 2021. Barriers to AV bus acceptance: A national survey and research agenda. Int J Hum, 37, 1391–1403.

[22]

Gkartzonikas, C., Gkritza, K., 2019. What have we learned? A review of stated preference and choice studies on autonomous vehicles. Transp Res Part C Emerg Technol, 98, 323–337.

[23]

Golbabaei, F., Yigitcanlar, T., Paz, A., Bunker, J., 2020. Individual predictors of autonomous vehicle public acceptance and intention to use: A systematic review of the literature. J Open Innov Technol Mark Complex, 6, 106.

[24]
Greene, W. H., Hensher, D. A., 2010. Modeling Ordered Choices: A primer. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
[25]

Haboucha, C. J., Ishaq, R., Shiftan, Y., 2017. User preferences regarding autonomous vehicles. Transp Res Part C Emerg Technol, 78, 37–49.

[26]

Hirk, R., Hornik, K., Vana, L., 2020. mvord: An R package for fitting multivariate ordinal regression models. J Stat Soft, 93, 1–41.

[27]

Hu, L. T., Bentler, P. M., 1999. Cutoff criteria for fit indexes in covariance structure analysis: Conventional criteria versus new alternatives. Struct Equ Model A Multidiscip J, 6, 1–55.

[28]

Irannezhad, E., Mahadevan, R., 2022. Examining factors influencing the adoption of solo, pooling and autonomous ride-hailing services in Australia. Transp Res Part C Emerg Technol, 136, 103524.

[29]
Jabbari, P., Auld, J., MacKenzie, D., 2022. How do perceptions of safety and car ownership importance affect autonomous vehicle adoption? Travel Behav Soc, 28, 128–140.
[30]
Jiang, Z., Wang, S., Mondschein, A. S., Noland, R. B., 2020. Spatial distributions of attitudes and preferences towards autonomous vehicles. Findings. https://doi.org/10.32866/001c.12653
[31]

Kang, S., Mondal, A., Bhat, A. C., Bhat, C. R., 2021. Pooled versus private ride-hailing: A joint revealed and stated preference analysis recognizing psycho-social factors. Transp Res Part C Emerg Technol, 124, 102906.

[32]

Kaplan, S., Gordon, B., El Zarwi, F., Walker, J. L., Zilberman, D., 2019. The future of autonomous vehicles: Lessons from the literature on technology adoption. Applied Eco Perspectives Pol, 41, 583–597.

[33]

Kaye, S. A., Somoray, K., Rodwell, D., Lewis, I., 2021. Users’ acceptance of private automated vehicles: A systematic review and meta-analysis. J Saf Res, 79, 352–367.

[34]

Keszey, T., 2020. Behavioural intention to use autonomous vehicles: Systematic review and empirical extension. Transp Res Part C Emerg Technol, 119, 102732.

[35]
Kline, R. B., 2015. Principles and Practice of Structural Equation Modeling. New York, USA: Guilford publications.
[36]

Kopelias, P., Demiridi, E., Vogiatzis, K., Skabardonis, A., Zafiropoulou, V., 2020. Connected & autonomous vehicles – Environmental impacts – A review. Sci Total Environ, 712, 135237.

[37]

Krueger, R., Rashidi, T. H., Rose, J. M., 2016. Preferences for shared autonomous vehicles. Transp Res Part C Emerg Technol, 69, 343–355.

[38]
Muthén, B. O., du Toit, S., Spisic, D., 1997. Robust inference using weighted least squares and quadratic estimating equations in latent variable modeling with categorical and continuous outcomes. Psychometrika. https://www.statmodel.com/download/Article_075.pdf
[39]

Nazari, F., Noruzoliaee, M., Mohammadian, A., 2018. Shared versus private mobility: Modeling public interest in autonomous vehicles accounting for latent attitudes. Transp Res Part C Emerg Technol, 97, 456–477.

[40]

Othman, K., 2021. Public acceptance and perception of autonomous vehicles: A comprehensive review. AI Ethics, 1, 355–387.

[41]

Piras, F., Sottile, E., Meloni, I., 2021. Do psycho-attitudinal factors vary with individuals’ cycling frequency? A hybrid ordered modeling approach. Travel Behav Soc, 22, 186–198.

[42]
R Core Team, 2022. R: A language and environment for statistical computing. Austria, R Foundation for Statistical Computing. https://www.R-project.org
[43]

Rafiq, R., McNally, M. G., Sarwar Uddin, Y., Ahmed, T., 2022. Impact of working from home on activity-travel behavior during the COVID-19 Pandemic: An aggregate structural analysis. Transp Res Part A Policy Pract, 159, 35–54.

[44]

Rahman, M., Sciara, G. C., 2022. Travel attitudes, the built environment and travel behavior relationships: Causal insights from social psychology theories. Transp Policy, 123, 44–54.

[45]

Raveau, S., Álvarez-Daziano, R., Yáñez, M. F., Bolduc, D., de Dios Ortúzar, J., 2010. Sequential and simultaneous estimation of hybrid discrete choice models. Transportation Research Record, 2156, 131–139.

[46]
Revelle, W., 2017. psych: Procedures for Personality and Psychological Research, Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois, USA. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=psych Version = 1.7.8
[47]

Rosseel, Y., 2012. lavaan: An R package for structural equation modeling. J Stat Soft, 48, 1–36.

[48]
SAE International., 2021. Taxonomy and definitions for terms related to driving automation systems for on-road motor vehicles. https://www.sae.org/standards/content/j3016_202104
[49]
Sanguinetti, A., Kurani, K., Ferguson, B., 2019. Is it OK to get in a car with a stranger? Risks and benefits of ride-pooling in shared automated vehicles. University of California Institute of Transportation Studies. https://escholarship.org/uc/item/1cb6n6r9
[50]

Silva, Ó., Cordera, R., González-González, E., Nogués, S., 2022. Environmental impacts of autonomous vehicles: A review of the scientific literature. Sci Total Environ, 830, 154615.

[51]
Transportation Secure Data Center, 2019. 2019 California Vehicle Survey. https://www.nrel.gov/transportation/secure-transportation-data/tsdc-2019-california-vehicle-survey.html
[52]

Wang, S., Zhao, J., 2019. Risk preference and adoption of autonomous vehicles. Transp Res Part A Policy Pract, 126, 215–229.

[53]
Washington, S., Karlaftis, M., Mannering, F., Anastasopoulos, P., 2020. Statistical and Econometric Methods for Transportation Data Analysis. Boca Raton, USA: CRC press.
[54]

Xiao, J., Goulias, K. G., 2022. Perceived usefulness and intentions to adopt autonomous vehicles. Transp Res Part A Policy Pract, 161, 170–185.

[55]

Ye, L., Yamamoto, T., 2019. Evaluating the impact of connected and autonomous vehicles on traffic safety. Phys A Stat Mech Appl, 526, 121009.

Journal of Intelligent and Connected Vehicles
Pages 211-226
Cite this article:
Acharya S. Private or on-demand autonomous vehicles? Modeling public interest using a multivariate model. Journal of Intelligent and Connected Vehicles, 2023, 6(4): 211-226. https://doi.org/10.26599/JICV.2023.9210015

320

Views

21

Downloads

3

Crossref

3

Scopus

Altmetrics

Received: 29 April 2023
Revised: 01 June 2023
Accepted: 16 July 2023
Published: 30 December 2023
© The author(s) 2023.

This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

Return